Nvidia’s next GPU series will probably take a little longer to arrive. A release next year is also considered unlikely.
For months, there has been speculation about when Nvidia’s next generation of graphics cards will hit the market. The YouTube channels Moore’s Law Is Dead and Hardware Unboxed have now addressed the timing issue once again in a joint video.
While their conclusion doesn’t reveal any new facts, it confirms what insiders have been suspecting for months: Anyone waiting for the GeForce RTX 60 (codename Rubin) will likely have to wait until 2028.
Why Gaming Chips, of All Things, Are Lagging Behind
What’s curious about the delay: According to both sources, the Rubin architecture is already production-ready for data centers. The problem lies specifically with the gaming chips derived from it (internally called “GR20X”)—and with a resource that’s currently in shorter supply than ever before: memory chips.
Global manufacturing capacity for memory chips is currently largely booked up by the AI industry, which is also slowing down Nvidia’s gaming division. According to the two sources, a second, more explosive scenario is also on the table:
- If Nvidia were to use the same manufacturing process at TSMC for both gaming chips and AI accelerators, certain GeForce models could simply be discontinued—after all, every wafer that goes into an AI chip instead generates significantly more revenue.
- Although a complete overhaul of the gaming portfolio has been predicted for previous generations and has never actually happened, according to the two YouTubers, the risk is very real this time.
The bridge until then: RTX 50 Super
To bridge the waiting period, an update to the current GeForce RTX 50 series—dubbed “Super”—is intended to artificially extend the Blackwell sales cycle.
Exactly when this refresh will arrive remains unclear—dates ranging from late 2026 to early 2027 are being discussed, with CES in early January 2027 considered the most likely event.
AMD Is in the Same Boat
Nvidia isn’t alone in facing this problem. According to board partners, AMD’s upcoming RDNA 5 generation isn’t expected to arrive before 2027 either; some even anticipate it won’t be released until early 2028. Both graphics card manufacturers are thus likely to unveil their next major architectures almost simultaneously.
